So here we are, 11 months in, and a few days before the UK
government’s announcement of their “roadmap” out of lockdown. Amidst the
mountains of speculation, one thing is pretty much agreed upon by all observers,
pubs will be at the back of the queue for reopening. What is also widely
acknowledged is that such a decision has no scientific basis. But that doesn’t
matter to politicians, academics, journalists, social media commentators and
all the other influencers, large and small. That the licensed trade and night-time
economy occupy the lowest rung is more about worthiness than rates of
transmission.
Going to the
pub is frivolous, they say, and we must prioritise other sectors before we can
even consider bars and nightclubs. So non-essential shops will be back first,
followed by every other business you can think of and then pubs, maybe, and
probably with restrictions for months, even when most of the population are
vaccinated. Because going to the pub is just a luxury, they tell us. Completely
ignoring the benefits socialising brings to all of society; relaxation,
improved mental health, combatting loneliness and isolation, community spirit,
spending time with strangers, old-fashioned fraternity.
In
comparison to pubs and clubs, restaurants and coffee shops will be treated far
more favourably. These activities, eating and mainlining caffeine, are
respectable. You can be productive on coffee, you see. This is to be encouraged
in the brave new world of work and achievement. Popping into a bar for a few
drinks, just to see what happens or who you might meet, is such an alien
concept to our rulers (official and unofficial) that the arguments over a
substantial meal with a drink went right over their heads. And an extra bonus
is that subversion – social and political – is a phenomenon rarely seen in cafes.
The roadmap
of Monday 22nd February is likely to be guided by all the above
“considerations” and hospitality – Britain’s vice, don’t you know? – will have
to stomach the gruel it is served. Pubs in Scotland will face an even less
palatable menu, with Nicola Sturgeon set to look at the schedule set out by
Boris Johnson and mirror most of it, particularly its sequencing, but add on
five or six weeks for Scotland.
That’s because
the SNP has an unwritten motto, as do a chunk of the population, “never
knowingly less righteous (ie authoritarian) than the next country”. Seemingly
more in thrall to public health experts here than in any other part of the UK,
if not Europe – without seeing any actual improvements in population health.
We have academics such as Professor Niamh Fitzgerald
of the University of Stirling whose team recently produced a piece of research regarding
conduct within licensed premises across central Scotland during the time they
were actually allowed to open and sell alcohol. I mentioned this research team
and its intentions way back in my last blog. According to the researchers, there
was not 100% compliance with the required social-distancing and other measures.
When I suggested online that this survey was commissioned by the Scottish
Government, she replied that it was not commissioned by the government, rather
the CSO (Chief Scientific Officer) had solicited for research and then accepted
their proposal. I thanked her for the information but it took a few more
messages on Twitter before she actually admitted the research was funded by the
Scottish Government. Quite a crucial fact, one could say.
The
professor has made a career out of demonising alcohol, so doubt must be raised
about the impartiality of her and her team of researchers. They visited 29
premises and spent around 2 hours in each. With all due respect to their skills
and commitment, I visited far more than that amount of pubs across Scotland,
England, Northern Ireland and Wales in the period July to October and found a remarkable
level of industry adherence to the rules, not to mention a serious and probably
crippling amount of money spent on screens, PPE, outdoor seating etc
In those
many licensed premises I can recall only one joint which did not take my name
and address. In comparison, in the same three months, I visited a similar
amount of different coffee shops, and in at least 10% of those premises there
was no recording of my name and address. But as we know, coffee shops, cafes
and restaurants, supermarkets etc are not put under the scrutiny experienced by
pubs.
As if to add
to our joy north of the border, Sturgeon and colleagues appear to now be intent
on following the advice of zero-Covid zealots like media darling Professor Devi
Sridhar. One of the main outcomes of this tack will be the banning of all
foreign travel from Scotland for an indefinite period. That this may be
accepted by a sizeable amount of the Scottish electorate is perhaps down to the
quite extraordinary (in peacetime, anyway) amount of psych-ops employed by all
UK governments, a task which has been taken up with glee by psychologists such
as Professor Stephen Reicher of St Andrews University (yes, another Scottish-based
professor).
When one
observes this panoply of concerted action by many professions, one does wonder
if lockdown has presented an opportunity for the professional and laptop
classes to once again examine and dismantle the lives and passions of the lower-middle
and working classes. And perhaps even exact some revenge for Brexit (I speak as
a Remainer, btw).
“So you
voted for Brexit, eh? Well, because you have jeopardised the chances of students
undertaking an Erasmus, you can forget about that cheap week in the sun in
Benidorm. And see those few quiet pints in your local midweek, or a booze-up in
the social club or nightclub come Saturday, that won’t be allowed until at
least summer 2022. And, by the way, keep delivering those Amazon packages and
serving me at Waitrose. That’s your place, and don’t forget it.”
Yes, eventually the pubs and social clubs will re-emerge in the UK, maybe even nightclubs and casinos. But the landscape will have changed dramatically, independent operators even more an endangered species, chains such as Wetherspoons ever more dominant. It didn’t have to be this way, but it is the inevitable outcome of the UK establishment once again casting the licensed trade as the whipping boy.